Saudi Arabia claims that Israel's actions in Syria have destroyed the opportunity to restore security.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.In 2024, the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.35%, which was the ninth consecutive meeting and was in line with market expectations.
Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the central bank's monetary policy committee is intentional. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the statement is intentional. The Committee noted that the data had weakened. Have more confidence in inflation. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with expectations. No need for two or more quarterly inflation data to change. Will pay attention to all data including employment.The IMF believes that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil. Economists of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) say that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil, emphasizing the importance of calmly coping with turmoil when the region faces various internal risks and challenges brought by Trump's return to the White House. Asia is still the key engine of global economic growth, but uncertainty caused by many factors has increased this year. The unexpected leadership change in Japan, the chaotic martial law storm in South Korea and Trump's tariff threat all make the future of the region even more unpredictable. Alasdair Scott, head of the Asia-Pacific Department of the IMF, declined to comment on specific countries and political situations, but he emphasized the resilience of Asia and said that the region still has great growth potential.OpenAI has made a big profit, and institutions have increased their positions in four high-growth potential stocks. According to data treasure, on December 10th, OpenAI officially opened the artificial intelligence video generation model Sora to users, and it has been 10 months since the first public preview of the product. At the same time, the company announced the launch of a new version of Sora, Sora Turbo, saying that it is significantly faster than the version previewed in February. In early trading today, AIGC concept stocks broke out, and Shensi Electronics and Worth Buying all recorded a 20cm daily limit. According to data treasure statistics, as of December 9, there were nearly 200 concept stocks involving AIGC, and the total market value of A shares was close to 3 trillion yuan. Since the beginning of this year, the cumulative increase of 12 concept stocks has doubled, including Doushen Education, PricewaterhouseCoopers, An Shuo Information, Fushi Holdings and Bestak. The cumulative increase of Doushen Education was 279.64%, ranking first. At the same time, according to the unanimous prediction of more than five institutions, there are 11 AIGC concept stocks whose net profit growth rate is expected to exceed 20% from 2024 to 2026.
South Korea's ruling party held final negotiations with the opposition party on the budget.Li Jun, the former first-level senior police sergeant of the Economic Crime Investigation Corps of Jiangxi Provincial Public Security Department, was examined and investigated. On December 10th, WeChat official account WeChat reported that Li Jun, the former first-level senior police sergeant of the Economic Crime Investigation Corps of Jiangxi Provincial Public Security Department, was suspected of serious violation of discipline and law, and took the initiative to explain the problem to the organization. At present, he is being examined by the Discipline Inspection and Supervision Team of Jiangxi Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection in the Provincial Public Security Department and supervised by the Supervision Committee of Yushan County, Shangrao City.Tongliao, Inner Mongolia: Support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. On December 9, Tongliao Housing Provident Fund Center of Inner Mongolia issued the Notice on Optimizing and Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund. The document proposes to increase the calculation amount of housing provident fund loans. Before the adjustment, it was "the amount of housing provident fund loan application does not exceed 20 times the balance of the account", and after the adjustment, it was "the amount of provident fund loan does not exceed 25 times the balance of the provident fund account", which will be implemented as of the date of issuing the notice. At the same time, support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. Support depositors to withdraw the balance of housing provident fund as the down payment for the purchase of newly-built self-occupied housing, that is, after the purchaser and the development enterprise sign the proposed purchase contract (agreement), they can apply for withdrawing the balance of housing provident fund account to pay the down payment for the purchase, which will be implemented from December 20. Tongliao will also adjust the maximum age for employees to repay loans. According to "Measures of the State Council on Gradually Delaying the Statutory Retirement Age", the term of individual housing loans for housing provident fund will be extended to 68 years for men and 63 years for women, or to 5 years after the statutory retirement age of depositors, with the longest loan term not exceeding 30 years. This policy will be implemented as of January 1, 2025.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide